Methodology & data
How our crowd forecasts are built — and where the limits are.
What the score means
Every place gets a crowd score from 0 to 100. Lower is quieter. The score blends how busy a place tends to be at a given month, day of the week and hour, relative to its own typical range — not an absolute head-count.
What goes into it
The model combines seasonal visitation patterns, day-of-week rhythm by attraction type, the daily arc from opening to close, public holidays and school breaks, major events, cruise-ship arrivals for port destinations, and weather seasonality.
How current it is
These are modelled estimates grounded in well-established seasonality, not a live sensor feed. Each forecast shows the date its model was last reviewed and a confidence level so you always know how much weight to give it.
Where it can be wrong
One-off events, strikes, closures, weather swings and sudden changes in capacity can all move a real day away from the estimate. When we are less sure, we say so, and we separate what we observe from what we recommend.
Confidence levels
Well-documented, stable seasonality with strong agreement across sources.
Clear overall pattern, with more variation from year to year.
Newer coverage — treat as a first estimate and expect refinement.
Spot something off?
Crowds change, and so should our model. If a forecast doesn’t match what you saw on the ground, tell us and we’ll review it.
Report a correction